Hadley Duvall, a Midway University senior, appeared in a TV commercial for Gov. Andy Beshear. |
Standing before cheering supporters on election night, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear wrapped up his re-election celebration with a round of thanks.
“First to my parents,” he said, embracing Jane and Steve Beshear — his father himself a former, two-term governor.
The Democratic incumbent, who defeated Republican Attorney General Daniel Cameron by 5 percentage points, next thanked his wife, Britainy and their children, Will and Lila.
Then Beshear thanked a young woman in the crowd who appeared in a television ad that became the flashpoint of his campaign — describing her childhood rape and pregnancy and blasting Cameron for his support of Kentucky’s near-total ban on abortion.
“To tell a 12-year-old girl she must have the baby of the stepfather who raped her is unthinkable,” Hadley Duvall sayid in the ad.
“Hadley is here tonight,” Beshear said of the 21-year-old Midway University senior from Owensboro who appeared in what political observers say was a devastatingly effective ad. “Because of her, this commonwealth is going to be a better place and people are going to reach out for the help they need. Thank you, Hadley.”
Abortion remains essentially illegal in Kentucky under a pair of laws enacted by the Republican-controlled General Assembly that provide no exceptions for pregnancies from rape or incest — laws Cameron, as attorney general, has defended.
The laws took effect after the U.S. Supreme Court last year struck down the landmark Roe v. Wade decision of 1973, establishing abortion as a constitutional right.
The Republican supermajority in the state legislature has shown little interested in changing Kentucky’s laws, even to add exemptions for rape or incest. But supporters of abortion rights are hopeful that Beshear’s reelection in a deep red state marks a turning point in attitudes about access to abortion as well as an awakening among voters about the real-life impact of laws that ban it.
“I think it is very obvious that abortion has become an issue that people are not afraid to talk about any longer and that certainly does drive people to the polls,” said Angela Cooper, communications director for the American Civil Liberties Union of Kentucky.
Tamarra Wieder, state director for Planned Parenthood Alliance Advocates Kentucky, noted that the Nov. 7 re-election of Beshear, a supporter of abortion rights, came the same day that voters in Ohio, also a conservative state, approved a ballot measure establishing a state constitutional right to abortion.
And Beshear’s win comes one year after Kentucky voters rejected a ballot measure that would have declared Kentucky’s constitution creates no right to abortion. About 52% of the state’s voters opposed the measure — about the same share of voters who elected Beshear to a second term, Wieder said.
“I don’t think it’s a coincidence that those numbers are the same,” Wieder said. “Abortion is a winning issue.”
Then Beshear thanked a young woman in the crowd who appeared in a television ad that became the flashpoint of his campaign — describing her childhood rape and pregnancy and blasting Cameron for his support of Kentucky’s near-total ban on abortion.
“To tell a 12-year-old girl she must have the baby of the stepfather who raped her is unthinkable,” Hadley Duvall sayid in the ad.
“Hadley is here tonight,” Beshear said of the 21-year-old Midway University senior from Owensboro who appeared in what political observers say was a devastatingly effective ad. “Because of her, this commonwealth is going to be a better place and people are going to reach out for the help they need. Thank you, Hadley.”
Abortion remains essentially illegal in Kentucky under a pair of laws enacted by the Republican-controlled General Assembly that provide no exceptions for pregnancies from rape or incest — laws Cameron, as attorney general, has defended.
The laws took effect after the U.S. Supreme Court last year struck down the landmark Roe v. Wade decision of 1973, establishing abortion as a constitutional right.
The Republican supermajority in the state legislature has shown little interested in changing Kentucky’s laws, even to add exemptions for rape or incest. But supporters of abortion rights are hopeful that Beshear’s reelection in a deep red state marks a turning point in attitudes about access to abortion as well as an awakening among voters about the real-life impact of laws that ban it.
“I think it is very obvious that abortion has become an issue that people are not afraid to talk about any longer and that certainly does drive people to the polls,” said Angela Cooper, communications director for the American Civil Liberties Union of Kentucky.
Tamarra Wieder, state director for Planned Parenthood Alliance Advocates Kentucky, noted that the Nov. 7 re-election of Beshear, a supporter of abortion rights, came the same day that voters in Ohio, also a conservative state, approved a ballot measure establishing a state constitutional right to abortion.
And Beshear’s win comes one year after Kentucky voters rejected a ballot measure that would have declared Kentucky’s constitution creates no right to abortion. About 52% of the state’s voters opposed the measure — about the same share of voters who elected Beshear to a second term, Wieder said.
“I don’t think it’s a coincidence that those numbers are the same,” Wieder said. “Abortion is a winning issue.”
Political observers say it’s likely Beshear would have won for other reasons — his overall popularity, his advantage as the incumbent, and his management of crises in his first term including the Covid-19 pandemic and devastating tornadoes and deadly flooding.
But the abortion issue — in particular, the ad featuring Duvall — deepened the contrast between Beshear and Cameron.
While Beshear has said he supports abortion access previously conferred by Roe v. Wade, as he ran for re-election he stressed that the law contains no exemptions for rape or incest, calling it “cruel.”
Cameron, who has defended Kentucky’s laws, was left struggling to explain his stance, giving conflicting responses to the issues raised in the ad. And that worked to Beshear’s benefit, said Danny Briscoe, a long-time Democratic consultant from Louisville.
“You can’t say she won the campaign for him but you can say she played an awfully valuable role,” Briscoe said of Duvall. “They put the ball in Cameron’s court and he never really got rid of it.”
UPDATE, Nov. 13: Polls indicated the ad would be the most effecitve in moving voters from Cameron to Beshear, campaign manager Eric Hyers told Politico: “It cemented and locked in where the race was and made it so that it was going to be very, very difficult — if not impossible — for him to get to a majority because people were so repulsed.” He also said voters who moved the most were older Republican, non-college educated men in rural areas, Madison Fernandez reports.
Tres Watson, a GOP campaign consultant, said Republicans who once confidently campaigned on ending abortion are in an awkward spot now that it is effectively banned in 14 states and restricted in 11 more.
“I think it’s a new reality,” said Watson, a co-host of the Kentucky Politics Weekly podcast. “I don’t think the general public has changed. Who’s on the offense and who’s on the defense have changed.”
Most Americans oppose the decision overturning Roe v. Wade and continue to support at least some measure of access to abortion, according to a Marist College poll in April.
Tres Watson, a GOP campaign consultant, said Republicans who once confidently campaigned on ending abortion are in an awkward spot now that it is effectively banned in 14 states and restricted in 11 more.
“I think it’s a new reality,” said Watson, a co-host of the Kentucky Politics Weekly podcast. “I don’t think the general public has changed. Who’s on the offense and who’s on the defense have changed.”
Most Americans oppose the decision overturning Roe v. Wade and continue to support at least some measure of access to abortion, according to a Marist College poll in April.
As for the outcome of the governor’s race in Kentucky, Wuchner said, “We’re still trying to evaluate everything.
Whether the Kentucky General Assembly will consider adding exemptions to the state’s stringent abortion laws remains in question.
Two laws are in in effect: A “trigger law” that banned all abortions once Roe v. Wade was overturned and another that bans abortions after six weeks, before many women realize they are pregnant. Neither law has exemptions for rape or incest and allow abortion only in rare instances to save the life or prevent disabling injury of a pregnant patient.
Beshear called on lawmakers the day after the election to add exceptions for rape or incest, calling Kentucky’s laws among the “most extreme” in the nation.
Rep. Jason Nemes, R-Louisville, filed such a measure only to have it ignored by lawmakers in the 2023 legislative session. “I think our people believe in the exemptions,” he said. “And at some point, we’re representatives of the people, and we have to do what their demands are.”
However, “Exceptions for rape and incest are the minimum,” said the ACLU’s Cooper. “It’s really not enough.” Wieder, with Planned Parenthood, agrees.
She said Planned Parenthood will continue work to educate voters that the decision now rests with state lawmakers. “People think the bans are national,” Wieder said. “They don’t realize it’s their local leaders.”
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