Pandemic state of emergency would end March 7 under a resolution the state Senate sent to the House on a party-line vote

Sen. Donald Douglas (Legislative photo) 

By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

The Senate has sent the House a resolution to end the Covid-19 state of emergency in Kentucky on March 7.

Senate Joint Resolution 150, sponsored by Republican Sen. Donald Douglas of Nicholasville, would end the state of emergency that Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear declared on March 6, 2020. In January, the legislature set it to expire on April 15. 

The resolution would end "all subsequent executive orders, emergency administrative regulations, suspensions of statutes, and other directives which rely upon the declaration of emergency."  

And it says the governor "shall not" declare a new Covid-19 state of emergency "based upon the same or substantially similar facts and circumstances as the original declaration" without the prior approval of the General Assembly. 

The resolution passed the Senate Thursday, Feb. 24. on a party-line vote of 28-8. Including Douglas, the resolution has 18 sponsors. 

While presenting the bill on the Senate floor, Daniels acknowledged that when the virus was first announced, there were many unknowns that drove decision-making, but he said it quickly turned political. 

"Instead of proceeding down a purely medical path, it seems that politics took a major role and  sometimes even the lead," said Douglas, a physician. "The emergency seemed to be more about emotion and feeling and a lot less about objectivity and facts."  

He said the focus has been on cases and deaths, without an understanding that "many more people recovered without issue," causing our citizens to be "terrified." As of Feb. 25, there have been 1.3 million Covid-19 cases in Kentucky and 13,758 deaths attributed to it, most in people over 60. However, as many as a third of people with Covid-19 have reported lingering effects.

Douglas noted that the state of emergency led to cancellation of elective medical procedures, business shutdowns, loss of jobs, mask mandates and travel restrictions, and said "the Kentucky State Police were directed to target church attendees."

When Douglas presented the bill in committee, he said Beshear ordered police "to pull the attendees of the church out of the church.” That is not true. Beshear ordered police to go to parking lots of churches that held in-person services on Easter 2020 and place notice on cars saying that attendees were in violation of his order against mass gatherings and should quarantine themselves for 14 days.

Douglass also cited a Johns Hopkins University meta-analysis of 24 studies that looked at the effects of lockdowns on Covid-19 deaths. The researchers found lockdowns in the U.S. and Europe reduced Covid-19 mortality by an average of 0.2 percent; that shelter-in-place orders reduced mortality by 2.9%; and that there was no broad-based evidence of noticeable effects from non-pharmaceutical interventions. 

The study concluded, "While this meta-analysis concludes that lockdowns have had little to no public-health effects, they have imposed enormous economic and social costs where they have been adopted. In consequence, lockdown policies are ill-founded and should be rejected as a pandemic policy instrument."

Douglas said, "It is time to move to normalcy." He said the March 7 date would give Beshear time to file any administrative regulations that are needed and ensure that the lawmakers are still in session when the emergency ends.

He added that it is not his intent to decrease or interfere with any federal funding, but Sen. Morgan McGarvey, D-Louisville, said it remains unknown if the resolution would affect federal funding such as the additional nutrition benefits that have been made available to children and families.

Sen. Karen Berg, D-Louisville, also spoke against the resolution, saying it is premature because the percentage of Kentuckians testing positive for the virus remains too high and only 60% of eligible Kentuckians have received even a single dose of a Covid-19 vaccine.

When Berg spoke, the positive-test rate was around 10%, after being above 30% for much of January. Early in the pandemic, public-health officials said caution is required when the rate is above 5%. 

Vaccination rates are also slowing. Over the last seven days, the average number of Covid-19 vaccinations in Kentucky was 2,508 per day, the lowest since the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began gathering reliable data in January 2020. Most of the shots were boosters. State and CDC data show that 64% of the total population have received at least one dose of a vaccine, 56% are fully vaccinated and 43% of the eligible population is boosted.

Sen. David Yates, D-Louisville, asked his colleagues, “Why are we doing it? This doesn’t change anything. . . . I actually cannot wait until I can join in support of it, but what is the rush? I vote no.”

Gov. Andy Beshear said on Feb. 21, "We don't have any state restrictions left . . . and we haven't in a long time."

Douglas, who won a special election in November, is running in the May 17 primary election against Andrew Cooperrider of Lexington, who flouted Beshear's restrictions and led protests against them.

Drug companies' settlement with states and local governments will bring Kentucky $483 million over the next 18 years

The state has finalized a $483 million settlement with four drug companies over their roles in the opioid epidemic, and payments should start in the second quarter of the year, Attorney General Daniel Cameron said Friday.

The 18-year agreement with drug distributors Cardinal Health, McKesson, AmerisourceBergen and manufacturer Johnson & Johnson ends "years of negotiations to resolve more than 4,000 claims of state and local governments across the country," a press release from Cameron's office said. "It is the second largest multistate agreement in U.S. history, second only to the Tobacco Master Settlement Agreement," which settled lawsuits against cigarette makers for health impacts of smoking.

Atty. Gen. Daniel Cameron

Cameron, a Republican, said he would "work closely with the legislature and local governments to ensure the funds are put toward programs that will stop the cycle of addiction and help heal our communities.” The state will get half the money, and the other half will go to local governments through an application process of the new Opioid Abatement Advisory Commission.

The four companies also agreed to:

• Create a clearinghouse to provide all three drug distributors and state regulators with data and analytics about where drugs are going and how often, "eliminating blind spots in the current systems used by distributors," the release said.
• Use data systems to detect and report suspicious opioid orders from pharmacies, and ban shipments of such orders.
• When pharmacies "show certain signs of diversion, stop their shipments and report them to state regulators.
• Prohibit their sales staff from influencing decisions related to identifying suspicious opioid orders, and require senior executives regularly examine anti-diversion efforts.

Johnson & Johnson is required to:

• Stop selling opioids.
• Not fund or provide grants to third parties for promoting opioids.
• Not lobby on activities related to opioids.
• Share clinical trial data under the Yale University Open Data Access Project.

Senate bill to address the state's nursing shortage passes its first hurdle, but some say it wouldn't do enough

Photo illustration via Nolan Group Media

UPDATE, March 1: The Senate passed the bill 36-0.

By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

A bill to address the nursing shortage in Kentucky passed out of a legislative committee Wednesday, but the state nursing association and several lawmakers said more needs to be done to keep nurses in the profession.

"This is not just related to hospitals, it's related to long-term health-care facilities and anybody else who relies on nursing," Senate President Robert Stivers, a co-sponsor of the bill, told the Senate Health and Welfare Committee. 

Senate Bill 10, sponsored by Sen. Robby Mills, R-Henderson, offers four key measures: licensing reciprocity between other states and nations, higher enrollment caps, looser nursing-instructor qualifications and restructuring the state Board of Nursing.

The panel approved the bill after rewriting it to address issues involving temporary work permits and credentialing requirements for nurses with degrees from foreign nursing schools, and saying a nursing program's students must have an 80% pass rate on the licensure exam over three years, instead of five. 

Delanor Manson, CEO of the Kentucky Nurses Association, told the committee, "Senate Bill 10 and the revisions are going in the right direction, but it doesn't go far enough." She presented a five-point plan that called for spending $100 million in state funds to address the nursing shortage. 

First, she called for repeal of Kentucky's requirement that advanced-practice registered nurses have a collaborative agreement with a physician to prescribe narcotics and some other controlled substances. 

"There are approximately 2000 APRNs who are practicing outside Kentucky because they cannot practice to the full extent of their licensure and experience and education," Manson said. "We need to bring those nurses home."

Manson estimated that other parts of her plan would bring about 1,500 of the 5,000 retired nurses in Kentucky back into the workforce, through education and retraining. It also calls for expanded training through increased faculty salaries and loan forgiveness; recommends a campaign to make sure nurses know they are appreciated; and offers retention bonuses for nurses who stayed in their communities throughout the pandemic.

Several legislators also called for more efforts to keep nurses on the job. 

"I do think the greatest improvement could be if we had some retention money set aside in our budget to really work toward keeping our nurses long term in Kentucky," said Democratic Sen. Denise Harper Angel of Louisville. "But this is an excellent first start." 

Sen. Stephen Meredith, a Leitchfield Republican and former hospital administrator, praised the bill but said, "I'm a little bit concerned that we don't have more focus on the retention side of it. . . I don't think people understand how demanding nursing has become." 

Nancy Galvagni, president of the Kentucky Hospital Association, spoke in favor of the bill, saying the nursing shortage has been building for years and has placed great stress on hospitals. She said hospitals are burning through reserves to hire traveling nurses to fill the gaps, at of $200 to $250 per hour. 

"These expenses are not sustainable and they could easily lead to cuts and services," Galvagni said. "And we know that hospitals are already looking at what services they may need to discontinue." 

Sen. Ralph Alvarado, a physician who works in long-term care facilities, called the situation "dire."

"We have a lot of facilities that are shutting down wings, because they don't have adequate nursing staffing," said Alvarado, R-Winchester. "We know that our hospitals haven't been able to operate at its fullest capacities, because we don't have nursing staff to manage a lot of those wings in our hospitals." 

Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear declared an emergency in mid-December, allowing the state to take special measures to educate and license more nurses.

His order requires the nursing board to approve requests for enrollment increases if a school has sufficient resources; requires schools to report vacant student seats to the board monthly to post online, and send the board a list of needed faculty; allows a school to open new campuses more quickly; and improves reciprocity with other states. Beshear's budget proposal also included scholarship and loan-forgiveness money to attract and retain nurses.

UK medical and engineering teams will take new technology for testing wastewater for coronavirus to rural Kentucky this summer

Researchers Scott Berry, left, and Soroosh Torabi use a mobile lab
to find coronavirus in wastewater. (UK photo by Pete Comparoni)

By Elizabeth Chapin

University of Kentucky

Throughout the pandemic, researchers from the University of Kentucky’s College of Medicine and College of Engineering have joined forces to look for the virus by testing wastewater.

The practice has seen limited use in the past as a public-health surveillance tool, but the pandemic has brought newfound interest due to its ability to monitor infection trends without extensive clinical testing, says Dr. James Keck, an assistant professor of family and community medicine.

“The investment in advancing wastewater testing is a reflection of the usefulness of this tool to give a comprehensive picture of the spread of infection, especially in rural communities with limited access to clinical testing,” Keck said.

Keck's partner in two projects that have attracted $4.7 million in federal funding is Associate Professor of Mechanical Engineering Scott Berry, who invented a new technology that uses special beads to extract the RNA that is shed by the virus to make the process faster and more efficient.

The team’s first project, supported by an 18-month $1.3 million grant from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, is focused on testing wastewater from nursing homes.

The team has been testing wastewater daily at six nursing homes in the Lexington and Louisville areas using an automated sampling device. If a sample tests positive, facilities are notified and can take additional measures to prevent spread of the infection, including facility-wide clinical testing.

“Since wastewater testing can show the first signs of an outbreak in a community prior to detection in clinical samples, the early notice could help prevent Covid-19 infections and deaths in this vulnerable population,” Keck said.

The second project, funded by a $3.4 million grant from the National Institutes of Health, is aimed at advancing testing technology so that samples can be processed and analyzed on-site using Berry's exclusion-based sample preparation (ESP) process.

“ESP can provide a fast and simple method to manipulate RNA and has the potential to improve testing sensitivity and help to create a low-cost way to expand testing in rural areas or developing countries,” Berry said. “RNA also degrades over time, so the faster samples can be tested, the more accurate the results.”

Conventional wastewater testing sends to a lab so they can go through a complicated series of steps needed to extract the RNA before a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test can be done.

With the help of engineering students, Berry and his team created a mobile lab to take wastewater testing to rural Kentucky. Equipped with ESP and loop-mediated isothermal amplification, the “Disease Detective” van has the capability to both process and analyze samples in the field.

Beginning this summer, the van will head to rural communities in Kentucky, where Berry’s team will train people to test wastewater at treatment plants, schools and streams.

In the meantime, Berry's lab is processing weekly samples from wastewater treatment plants from eight counties. Local health officials are using the results to evaluate responses to the spread of infection. The hope is that the ESP technology will eventually allow wastewater treatment plant operators to do the testing, Berry says.

In addition to the training, the team is partnering with UK’s College of Education on another project that will use the mobile lab to teach local students about wastewater testing and get them excited about science, technology, engineering and mathematics.

It’s just another way the project has connected researchers from different disciplines who otherwise may never have worked together, Keck says.

“Basic-science researchers and engineers are working with public-health officials to have real impact in communities across Kentucky,” Keck said. “These projects utilize expertise and resources across many disciplines, bringing UK’s mission as a land grant institution into service.”

The University of Louisville has also been tracking wastewater in Jefferson County, and some other jurisdictions have, or have had, sampling. The CDC recently added wastewater sampling to its coronavirus data tracker, but no Kentucky sampling operations are in it. "This program is at an early, immature stage," said Susan Dunlap, spokeswoman for the state Department for Public Health. "There are only 331 sites in the entire nation reporting data to this website. The utility of the methodology for large-scale population surveillance is not yet established. Hopefully, the communities leading the way will help establish the utility or lack thereof to help guide future decisions whether this should be implemented more widely."

Latest Covid-19 surge seems over in Kentucky, but state still has second highest infection rate among states, well into the red zone

Ky. Health News graph from state data; click on it to enlarge.

By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

Kentucky's pandemic metrics have largely returned to where they were before the latest surge, but the commonwealth continues to have the second highest coronavirus infection rate among the states. 

Kentucky reported 2,689 new cases Wednesday, bringing the seven-day rolling average to 3,028, down 354 from Tuesday and 26% from a week ago.

The percentage of Kentuckians testing positive for the virus in the last seven days is 10.80%. The last time it was in this range was in late December, before the surge in Omicron variant cases began.

Kentucky's seven-day infection rate is 45.04 daily cases per 100,000 residents, just below where it was just before the surge began. Counties with rates more than double that rate are Perry, 198.6; Wolfe, 185.6; Leslie, 146.1; Lee, 135.1; Letcher, 133.2; Menifee, 125.5; Robertson, 115.2; Owsley, 110; Knott, 104.2; Floyd, 102.8; Montgomery, 97.9; Breathitt, 96.1; McCreary, 94.5; Jackson, 93.2; and Bath, 92.6.

Three Kentucky counties are now yellow on the state infection map, representing a "moderate" level of infection: Hickman, 9.8 cases per 100,000; Fulton, 9.6; and Todd, 8.1. Twenty-five counties are orange, for a "substantial" level, 10.1 to 25 cases per 100,000; the rest are in red, considered a high level. 

Kentucky's infection rate is again second highest among the states, trailing only Idaho, according to The New York Times' analysis of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data. Only three Kentucky counties are in the top 20 counties nationally, down from 10 a few days ago. They are Perry, 251 cases per 100,000; Morgan, 195; and Floyd, 184. (CDC and state figures differ due to methodologies.)

Kentucky hospitals reported 1,323 patients with Covid-19 Wednesday, 22% lower than a week earlier, with 254 in intensive care and 131 on mechanical ventilation.

Eight of the state's 10 hospital regions are using at least 80% of their intensive-care capacity, with three above 90%. Barren River is the highest, at 96.3%. 

The state reported 25 more Covid-19 deaths. The seven-day Covid-9 death average is 29.57; the 14-day average is 33.78. Kentucky's pandemic death toll is now 13,689.

The Washington Post reports that in the past seven days, Kentucky saw an 11% increase in the number of Covid-19 vaccine doses given over the week before, with 5,260 doses per day administered. However, the daily average four days ago was 6,377. 

The state says 2.9 million Kentuckians have received at least one dose of a vaccine, or 64% of the total population; 2.5 million are fully vaccinated, or 56% of the population; and 1 million have been boosted, or nearly 43% of the those who are fully vaccinated. 

On Tuesday, the CDC issued new Covid-19 vaccine guidance for the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines to expand the recommended time between the initial two vaccine doses to eight weeks for some people 12 and older, especially for males between 12 and 39. 

This new recommendation was issued to reduce the risk for severe side effects, like myocarditis, a heart inflammation that has shown up mostly in young men. Most patients who have developed myocarditis after getting a vaccination have fully recovered, according to the CDC. 

"mRNA Covid-19 vaccines are safe and effective at the FDA-approved or FDA-authorized intervals, but a longer interval may be considered for some populations," the CDC said. "While absolute risk remains small, the relative risk for myocarditis is higher for males ages 12-39 years, and this risk might be reduced by extending the interval between the first and second dose."

The original three-week interval between doses for the Pfizer vaccine and four weeks for the Moderna is still recommended for individuals who are immunocompromised, over 65 or in need of rapid protection against the coronavirus. Covid-19 booster guidance remains the same. 

Despite the potential side effects, the CDC maintained that the benefits of the mRNA Covid-19 vaccines outweigh the small risk of myocarditis.

House passes bill to add incentives and expand Rural Hospital Loan Program to include closed hospitals that reopen

Graphic from Gov. Andy Beshear's December press conference

UPDATE: March 29, HB 364 passed out of the Senate 35-0 with a committee substitute. The House concurred in the changes and the bill is finally passed. 

UPDATE, March 22, HB 364 passed out of the House 94-0.

By Melissa Patrick

Kentucky Health News

A bill to update the Kentucky Rural Hospital Loan Program to add incentives and include some closed hospitals has passed unanimously in the House and is in the Senate for further consideration. 

House Bill 364, sponsored by Rep. Danny Bentley, R-Russell, builds on 2020 HB 387, which created a revolving loan fund for distressed rural hospitals, and 2021 funding of $20 million.

The original bill, also sponsored by Bentley, allows the Cabinet for Economic Development to provide loans to struggling hospitals to maintain or upgrade facilities; maintain or increase staff; or provide health services not currently available. The loans can run 20 years and are available to hospitals in counties with fewer than 50,000 people.

So far, Pineville Community Health Center is the only hospital to be approved for a loan from the Kentucky Rural Hospital Loan Program. It received a $1 million loan at 1% over a five-year term in December to be used for operating expenses. 

HB 364 would expand the type of rural hospital that would qualify for a loan to include a "qualifying former hospital," or one that closed within 36 months prior to submitting its loan application that also has a certificate of need to open or reopen the facility.  

Five rural hospitals have closed in Kentucky since 2009, four since 2014. The most recent was Our Lady of Bellefonte Hospital in Russell, Bentley's hometown; it closed in April 2020. 

Rep. Danny Bentley

At the Feb. 17 House Health and Family Services Committee meeting, Bentley said Bellefonte is planning to repurpose its facility to include a psychiatric hospital that includes a "detox center" and space to "rehab residents. . . . I had to repurpose the bill, because they are repurposing the hospital." 

HB 364 would also provide an incentive for rural hospitals to be able to get as much as half 50% of a loan forgiven. It would require a maximum amount of $20,000 to be forgiven for each job retained or each new, full-time job created that meets certain wage requirements. 

The bill also provides that hospitals in a chain would be considered separately for the purposes of determining eligibility and loan limits. An emergency clause in the bill would make it take effect immediately. 

A 2020 report from the Kentucky Hospital Association said "anywhere from 16 to 28" of the state's 68 rural hospitals were at risk of closing. A separate analysis in 2021 by the Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform found that 16 of the 69 Kentucky hospitals it considered rural were at risk of closing.

Herd immunity from Covid-19? Not likely. Herd resistance? Yes.

Modern Healthcare illustration

A recent report estimated that 73 percent of Americans have immunity to the coronavirus, either from being infected by it or by getting vaccinated against it. That has made some people say that the nation is approaching "herd immunity," which protects unvaccinated people by making it more difficult for the virus to circulate.

That's unlikely, experts say. But they do think the highly contagious Omicron variant has spread so widely that it provided "enough protection against the coronavirus that future spikes will likely require much less — if any — dramatic disruption to society," reports Carla K. Johnson of The Associated Press.

“Herd immunity is an elusive concept and doesn’t apply to coronavirus,” Dr. Don Milton at the University of Maryland School of Public Health told Johnson.

"Early hopes of herd immunity against the coronavirus faded for several reasons," Johnson writes. "One is that antibodies developed from available vaccines or previous infection dwindle with time. While vaccines offer strong protection against severe illness, waning antibodies mean it's still possible to get infected — even for those who are boosted."

Also, vaccination has slowed, many areas still have low vaccination and booster-shot rates, and children under 5 still aren't eligible to be vaccinated, Johnson points out.

Finally, "As long as the virus spreads, it mutates, helping the virus survive and giving rise to new variants," Johnson notes. "Those mutants, such as Omicron, can become better at evading the protection people have from vaccines or an earlier infection."

Milton told Johnson that we are moving toward “herd resistance,” in which there is enough protection that outbreaks will be smaller and not disrupt society as the previous surges.

"Many scientists believe Covid-19 will eventually become like the flu and cause seasonal outbreaks but not huge surges," Johnson reports.

Ali Mokdad, a professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington, calculated the 73% immunity figure at the Johnson's request. 

"I am optimistic even if we have a surge in summer, cases will go up, but hospitalizations and deaths will not,” he said.

Most Covid-19 numbers in Kentucky continue to trend down, but our infection rate still ranks second among the states

Ky. Dept. for Public Health map, adapted by Ky. Health News; for a larger version, click on it.

By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

New coronavirus cases and the percentage of people testing positive for the virus in Kentucky keep declining in Kentucky, but it still ranks second among the states for its seven-day rate of daily new cases.  

Kentucky reported 3,300 new cases Tuesday, bringing the seven-day rolling average to 3,382, down 25 percent from a week earlier. The share of Kentuckians testing positive for the virus in the past seven days is 12.18%; it has declined for 30 days in a row since hitting a high of 33.1%. 

The statewide infection rate is 49.71 cases per 100,000 people. Counties with rates more than double that rate are Perry, 197.4; Leslie, 169.2; Lee, 150.5; Floyd, 123.6; Menifee, 121.1; Letcher, 120.0; Wolfe, 117.8; Breathitt, 107.5; Owsley, 106.8; Knott, 106.1; Bath, 102.9; and Lawrence, 99.8.

Kentucky has the second rate among states, according to an analysis of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data by The New York Times. Idaho's rate is highest; West Virginia is fifth and Tennessee is eighth.

Kentucky hospitals reported 1,384 patients with Covid-19, up 51 from Monday; an increase is typical for Tuesdays, which reflect admissions on Mondays. The seven-day average of Covid-19 patients is 1,485 per day, 24% lower than a week earlier.

Hospitals reported 260 Covid-19 patients in intensive care, down 10 from Monday, and 138 on mechanical ventilation, down three. 

Seven of the state's 10 hospital regions are using at least 80% of their intensive-care beds, with two of them over 90%. Covid-19 patients make up between 12.2% and 30.3% of the capacity. 

The state attributed 17 more deaths to Covid-19, the lowest daily report in weeks. The expectation is that as case numbers decline, deaths will too, but because deaths are a lagging indicator, they remain high. The seven-day Covid-19 death average is 30.6; the 14-day average is 34.4. Kentucky's pandemic death toll is now 13,664.

Kentucky's infection rate remains top among states, even as almost every metric used to measure the pandemic trends down

New York Times map, adapted by Ky. Health News; to enlarge, click on it; here for interactive version.

By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

Even as Kentucky's daily new-case rate, infection rate, positive-test rate and Covid-19 hospital numbers are steadily trending down, its seven-day rate of daily new cases continues to be the highest among states. 

Gov. Andy Beshear reported Monday that Kentucky's weekly case numbers and positivity rates have now declined for four straight weeks. "This is really good news," he said at his weekly pandemic press conference. "We're heading in the right direction." 

In the Monday-to-Sunday reporting week ended Feb. 20, Kentucky reported 25,173 Covid-19 cases, down from 35,961 the previous week. Beshear said this is the lowest weekly number of cases in two months and is now below the Delta variant peak. He said the hope is that Kentucky will drop to case levels seen between the Alpha and Delta variant surges, when the state was reporting around 1,000 cases a week.

In the same reporting week, the average test positive-test rate dropped to 13.1%. The rate Monday was 12.74%.

Asked if he had considered moving his new recommendations up from March 14, especially with the Senate proposing that the pandemic state of emergency end March 7, Beshear said ending the state of emergency would have no impact on the need for him to provide guidance, and while trends could support earlier changes, at this time his best prediction for the new guidance remains March 14. 

Beshear continued to caution that while things are headed in the right direction, case numbers and the positivity rate are still too high. He urged Kentuckians to be patient just a bit longer, especially schools who are increasingly making masks optional. 

"I would ask that everybody who can, be patient for the next couple of weeks, because right now with the level that we're at and the low vaccination rates, I don't believe it's fully safe to go mask optional," he said. 

Only 51% of 16-17-year-olds, 48% of 12-to-15-year-olds, and 21% of 5-to-11-year-olds have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine. 

The state reported 969 new cases Monday, the lowest number since late December. From Saturday to Monday, the state reported 5,955 new virus cases, lowering the seven-day rolling average to 3,489, down 276 from Friday.

The state says its seven-day infection rate is 52.53 daily cases per 100,000 residents. Counties with rates more than twice that rare are: Perry, 196.9; Lee, 167.9; Leslie, 163.4; Wolfe, 129.7; Breathitt, 126.7; Floyd, 121.2; Menifee, 118.9; Owsley, 116.5; Knott, 114.8; Letcher, 114.7; Carter, 112.5; Powell, 112.1; and Whitley, 108.7.

Two counties are in yellow on the state's infection map, representing a "moderate" level of infection: Fulton, with 7.2 cases per 100,000 and Hickman, with 6.5. Nineteen counties are in orange, for a "substantial" level of infection, 10-25 per 100,000; and the rest are in red, considered a high level of infection.

Kentucky continues to have the highest infection rate among states, according to The New York Times. Using Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, the Times says Kentucky has 10 of the top 20 counties: Perry, Estill, Floyd, Butler, Morgan, Clay, Breathitt, Carter, Whitley and Boyle. (CDC and state figures differ due to methodologies.)

In the last 14 days, Kentucky's CDC new-case rate dropped 31%, but every other state but Maine and Idaho had larger decreases.

Beshear said current trends give hope that we are moving from a pandemic to an endemic, meaning that the virus will have stopped being widespread, but remain present, with outbreaks limited to particular regions. He cautioned that it is hard to predict since this virus has "thrown us a lot of curveballs before." 

Kentucky's weekly hospital numbers also continue to decline. On Monday, the hospitals reported 1,333 Covid-19 patients, with 270 of them in intensive care and 141 on mechanical ventilation. 

Dept. for Public Health graph, adapted by KHN; click to enlarge.

Six of the state's 10 hospital regions are using at least 80% of their intensive care unit capacity, with three of them above 90%. The percentage of Covid-19 patients in the ICUs range from 6.6% to 29.2%. 

The only metric that remains high in Kentucky is Covid-19 deaths, a lagging indicator that Beshear said he hopes will soon show a decline. From Saturday to Monday, the state reported 82 more Covid-19 fatalities, with two of them in their 30s and four in their 40s. Kentucky's pandemic death toll is 13,647.

Health advocates say state government needs to do a lot more about tobacco, including letting local governments regulate sales

Map by Bridging Research Efforts & Advocacy Toward Healthy Environments, University of Kentucky

As the state legislature ponders allowing local governments to again regulate tobacco sales, the Lexington Herald-Leader has produced a comprehensive report showing the damage done to Kentucky's health by the crop that once accounted for almost half the state's farm income – and politicians' unwillingness to do much to limit the damage.

"The state’s response has been among the most anemic in the country, tobacco control advocates say. The state spends a fraction of what’s recommended to prevent people from starting to smoke and help smokers quit, and its tax rate on cigarettes is among the lowest in the country," Bill Estep reports.

High-school students in Kentucky smoke more than in any other state, 8.9 percent of them, according to the American Lung Association. The adult smoking rate, 21.4 percent, is the nation's second highest, trailing only West Virginia's 22.6%; the national rate is 14%. In Monroe, Metcalfe and Wolfe counties, the adult rate is 45%, 44% and 42%.

Kentucky's lung-cancer rate of 88 annual cases per 100,000 residents is the highest in nation; the U.S. rate is 57. The state also has the highest death rate from lung cancer.

The Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids estimates that 8,900 Kentucky adults die each year due to smoking, "and that health-care costs tied to smoking total $1.92 billion a year, not counting any impact from secondhand smoke," Estep reports. "The organization said nearly $600 million of that spending is through Medicaid, a taxpayer-funded program. The state and federal tax burden per household in Kentucky from smoking is $874."

But the tobacco industry usually wins in Frankfort. In the mid-1990s, the General Assembly prohibited cities and counties "from having their own rules on the use, display, sale and distribution of tobacco products," Estep notes. "The law means communities can’t limit the visibility of cigarettes in convenience stores, for example, or prevent vape shops from locating close to schools."

Sen. Wil Schroder

The ban would be repealed by Senate Bill 166, filed by Sen. Wil Schroder, a Northern Kentucky Republican. The tobacco industry is against it. David B. Sutton, a spokesman for Altria Group, the nation's leading cigarette maker, "said the state should avoid a confusing patchwork of local rules and taxes," Estep reports. Sutton said a varying rulebook “makes operating a business more complex and confusing for retailers trying to operate within the bounds of the law.”

Last year, when two similar bills were introduced, "Supporters had counted heads and thought they had the votes to pass the bills," Estep writes. "But the bills died a quick death. They didn’t get a hearing, much less a vote. Altria, a leading tobacco company, spent $73,627 on lobbying in the first three months of the legislative session as two bills were bottled up in committee."

As in many other states, the legislature has also refused to spend more money on tobacco cessation and prevention programs, keeping the about at $2 million a year. The state gets tobacco-related revenue of almost $500 million a year, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends that it should spend $56 million of it to help people quit and keep others from starting.

The Foundation for a Healthy Kentucky estimates the tobacco industry spent $246 million in 2020 in Kentucky promoting its products, Estep notes.

It all adds up to a need to act on many fronts, said University of Kentucky nursing professor Ellen Hahn, director of a project called BREATHE (Bridging Research Efforts and Advocacy Toward Healthy Environments) that has led anti-tobacco efforts in the state.

“Tobacco’s an addiction. It’s really rampant across Kentucky, so to fix it we need every tool in the toolbox,” Hahn told Estep. “If local communities have their hands tied and they can’t pass rules for instance that make it harder for youth to purchase tobacco products, it just limits our ability to fix the problem.”

Estep's story is accompanied by others. He has a story about the continued but slow expansion of local governments that ban smoking in workplaces and public indoor spaces, and another one about the benefits of quitting smoking and resources that are available to people who want to quit.

Alex Acquisto writes that the main battle over tobacco in Kentucky has shifted to teenagers' use of electronic cigarettes: "In 2019, the last year the data was available, more than one in four high school-aged students (over 30%) used e-cigarettes, also known as vaping, as did 20% of middle schoolers – the highest rate of any of the 11 states surveyed that year. At least 50% of high school students at each grade level admitted to ever having used tobacco products, and closer to 30% said they vaped frequently." The local-regulation bill is intended partly to enable local governments to discourage youth use of tobacco products.

Had Covid-19? You're 60% more likely to have mental illness, study finds; researcher says it shows disease isn't 'like the flu'

Los Angeles Times photo

People who've had Covid-19 have a 60 percent higher chance of experiencing mental health problems, including anxiety, depression, and thinking of suicide, as well as drug and alcohol abuse and disturbances in sleep and cognition.

The results come from a study by researchers at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis and the Veterans Affairs St. Louis Health Care System. Using anonymous data from the VA, the nation’s largest integrated health-care delivery system, the researchers compared the mental-health outcomes of more than 150,000 patients who had mild or severe Covid-19 cases from March 1, 2020 to January 15, 2021, with the outcomes of two control groups: one of more than 5.6 million patients who did not have Covid-19 during the same time period, the other of more than 5.8 million people who were patients from March 2018 to January 2019, well before the pandemic. The study is published in the BJM (British Medical Journal).

People diagnosed with Covid-19 were 60% more likely to suffer from mental-health problems than those who were not infected, leading to an increased use of prescription medication to treat such problems and increased risks of substance-use disorders including opioids and non-opioids such as alcohol and illicit drugs, the study found.

“People need to know that if they have had Covid-19 and are struggling mentally, they’re not alone, and they should seek help immediately and without shame,” said Ziyad Al-Aly, the study's lead author. “It’s critical that we recognize this now, diagnose it and address it before the opioid crisis snowballs and we start losing more people to suicide.”

Al-Aly continued, “Our findings suggest a specific link between SARS-Co-V-2 [the novel coronavirus] and mental-health disorders. We’re not certain why this is, but one of the leading hypotheses is that the virus can enter the brain and disturb cellular and neuron pathways.”

To better understand whether the increased risk of mental-health disorders is specific to Covid-19, the researchers also compared the Covid-19 patients with 72,207 flu patients, including 11,924 who were hospitalized, from October 2017 through February 2020. Again, the risk was significantly higher in those who had mild and serious Covid-19 infections.

“My hope is that this dispels the notion that Covid-19 is like the flu,” Al-Aly said. “It’s so much more serious.” He stressed the importance of identifying and treating mental-health disorders in Covid-19 survivors.

“Our goal was to provide a comprehensive analysis that will help improve our understanding of the long-term risk of mental-health disorders in people with Covid-19 and guide their post-infection health care,” added Al-Aly. “Studies on Covid-19 and mental health have been limited by a maximum of six months of follow-up data and by a narrow selection of mental-health outcomes; for example, examining depression and anxiety but not substance-use disorders.”

Flu cases remain about the same as last week in Kentucky

Dept. for Public Health graph shows flu cases peaked in December. Flu season runs through May.

Influenza activity in Kentucky appears to have leveled off, with the latest weekly report showing about the same number of confirmed cases as last and few counties heavily affected. 

The state Department for Public Health says that in the week ended Feb. 12, it counted only 85 flu cases, down from 88 the previous week and 96 the week before that. The state has recorded 2,661 cases this season and has no flu-related deaths.

The state's flu level is "regional," which applies when increases in flu cases have been confirmed in at least two, but fewer than half, of the state's 16 regions. Flu season usually peaks between December and March, but can run through May.

Flu cases could actually be higher since the state report only records those that have been laboratory confirmed, and not those confirmed by a rapid test. 

As long as there is any flu activity, health officials recommend getting a flu shot. 

"An annual flu vaccine is the best way to protect against flu and its potentially serious complications. CDC continues to recommend that everyone ages 6 months and older get a flu vaccine as long as flu activity continues," says the national flu report, which says flu activity is sporadic across the country, but is increasing in some states.

Most cases have been in those between the ages of 1 and 30 in Kentucky, with the highest number among those 11-20.